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<br>Let's assume Sir Keir Starmer wants to win the next [election](https://property-d.com). Let's likewise assume he has no desire to be changed as Prime Minister in the next year or so by Wes Streeting or Angela Rayner or anybody else.<br>
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<br>He's a politician, after all, and politicians relish power - Starmer more than many, I would believe. I likewise recommend that he's at least averagely intelligent, and must have the ability to weigh up the opportunities of any policy succeeding.<br>[edenhomes.co.nz](http://www.edenhomes.co.nz/)
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<br>After the battles, compromises and embarrassments associated with attaining high workplace, Starmer has no intention of throwing all of it away. Why, then, does he show every sign of doing so?<br>
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<br>On the single problem that might matter most to a bulk of citizens, he is hurtling towards particular disaster, while rejecting himself any possibility of an escape route. I mean the boats encountering the [Channel](https://woynirealtor.com).<br>
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<br>Numbers of migrants doing the 21-mile journey are up by 42 per cent on the same duration in 2015. An analysis by The Times, utilizing comparable modelling as Border Force, predicts that 50,000 individuals will cross the Channel in little boats in 2025. That would be an annual record - and a stonking debacle for Sir Keir.<br>
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<br>[Peering](https://whitestarre.com) into his mind, I reckon there are 2 [primary](https://mspdeveloper.com) possible descriptions for his behaviour. One is that he is deluding himself. He truly believes numbers will boil down once the measures he has taken start to work.<br>
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<br>If Starmer still believes that his policies - tossing hundreds of millions at the French authorities, enhancing intelligence and utilizing enhanced [law enforcement](https://realestatescy.com) powers - will lower the numbers, that actually is the [victory](https://ivoryafrica.com) of hope over experience. The other possibility is that he is currently starting poorly to understand that his [stratagems](https://alamrealty.com) will not bear much, if any, fruit. So he and the Government have decided to pull the wool over our eyes. A fatal approach.<br>
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<br>There have been 2 such examples in current days. Having stated in an online post on Monday that he felt 'upset' about the numbers crossing the Channel (how does he believe the rest of us feel !?) the PM made a slippery claim.<br>
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<br>Sir Keir Starmer now has nothing powerful in his locker, Stephen Glover writes<br>
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<br>Only 2,240 small-boat migrants were sent home in the 12 months to March, 3 per cent less than in the previous year<br>
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<br>He boasted that 'almost 30,000 individuals' had been removed from the UK by this Government. Sounds excellent. But in fact this figure refers to all kinds of migrants who have no right to be in our country. Only 2,240 small-boat migrants were sent home in the 12 months to March, 3 per cent fewer than in the previous year.<br>
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<br>A lie? Good God no! We mustn't accuse Labour prime ministers, far less [Sir Keir](https://galvanrealestateandservices.com) Starmer KCB, PC, KC, MP, of informing intentional fibs. Shall we go for an analytical deception?<br>
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<br>The other instance of the Government not being totally straight was the Office's claim previously today that there have actually been more migrants this year since of pleasant weather. These are called 'red days', when the sea is calm.<br>
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<br>But an analysis by my associate David Barrett in yesterday's Mail reveals that in temperate May last year there were 21 'red days' but just 2,765 arrivals, about 1,000 less than last month. In mild June 2024 there were 20 'red days', though only 3,007 migrants were taped crossing the Channel.<br>
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<br>The most likely explanation is that last May and June the Government's plan to send out unlawful migrants to Rwanda had actually finally cleared relentless judicial blockage. Some, a minimum of, were hindered from crossing the Channel for fear of being packed off to the central African country.<br>
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<br>The Rwanda scheme was far from best - it was pricey, and responsible to legal difficulty since the nation has an authoritarian federal government - but at least it had some possibility of preventing migrants. The incoming Labour Government tossed away its only possible means of suppressing the boats.<br>
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<br>Helpful for Tory leader Kemi Badenoch, who in a speech tomorrow will carry out to reanimate a plan strikingly similar to the Rwandan one.<br>
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<br>Starmer now has absolutely nothing formidable in his locker. Literally absolutely nothing. He can give further millions to the French government however it will not make much, if any, difference. French cops will still loll around on beaches, thinking about the sand castles they made as children, as they view migrant boats setting off for Dover.<br>
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<br>The truth is that the French will never strain themselves since every migrant who leaves their coasts is one less migrant for them to stress over. It is naive to envision that they are ever going to be zealous on our behalf.<br>
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<br>STEPHEN GLOVER: Keir Starmer is a soft man who can not comprehend the real evil Britain is facing<br>
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<br>Nor will Sir Keir's concept of improving intelligence and law enforcement be decisive. As for Labour's reported intention to play with Article 8 of the Human Rights Act so as to preclude bogus asylum claims, that is welcome, however even if it ends up being law it is not likely to have much result on total numbers.<br>
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<br>Are the PM and Home Secretary Yvette Cooper beginning to worry as they realise they don't have a single policy most likely to fulfil their guarantee of 'smashing the gangs'? If they aren't desperate, they jolly well must be.<br>
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<br>Three weeks back, Sir Keir was humiliated after he had praised talks over Rwanda-style 'return centers' only minutes before his Albanian counterpart, standing a few feet away, ruled out any cooperation.<br>
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<br>Maybe the Government will persuade the Kosovans or the North Macedonians to set up some sort of scheme. But if it does, it will take months, if not years, and people will wonder why Sir Keir a plan that he is at least [partially](https://topdom.rs) trying to revive.<br>
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<br>I've no particular desire to toss Starmer a lifeline however, as I've recommended before, there's one possible course out of the hole he has dug for himself - though it would take huge decision and guts for him to take it.<br>
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<br>There are lots of uninhabited British [islands](https://www.machinelinker.com) off our coast and further afield. Pick among them. Create a camp similar to those on the Isle of Man that housed alien internees during the War. [Build numerous](https://therealoasis.com) huts - instead of setting up less durable tents, as ex-Reform MP Rupert Lowe has actually proposed.<br>
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<br>Recruit physicians and officials to [examine claims](https://www.seasideapartments.co.za) more quickly than takes place at present - and after that return most migrants to where they came from. The cost of establishing such a camp would be a portion of the ₤ 4.3 billion invested last year on housing migrants and [asylum hunters](https://roussepropiedades.cl).<br>
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<br>Can anyone tell me why not? Few migrants would fancy kicking their heels for months in a camp, however humane, so it would be a wonderful deterrent. Cross the Channel, and you will be our guest - on a perhaps windy island rather than in a four-star hotel.<br>
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<br>Granted, in order to ward off vexatious legal challenges we 'd probably need to derogate from the European Court of Human Rights, which would be an action too far for our careful Prime Minister.<br>
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<br>But he doesn't have a better idea. In fact, he hasn't got any ideas at all that are liable to stem the growing numbers of people streaming across the [English Channel](https://elitehostels.co.ke).<br>
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<br>Things can just get worse - and as they do Labour will sink ever lower in public esteem. Does Sir Keir Starmer actually wish to be the signatory of his own political death warrant?<br>
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<br>RwandaAngela RaynerLabourWes Streeting<br>
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